Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Metallurg Lipetsk to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.39Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetallurg Lipetsk to win ✗68% · @1.39
Double chanceMetallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.04
Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk preview and prediction
The match
Strogino host Metallurg Lipetsk in the Second League Group 3 on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Strogino are 10th with 25 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Metallurg Lipetsk sit 7th on 38 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Strogino's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Zenit Penza 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Metallurg Lipetsk's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat SKA Khabarovsk II 4–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metallurg Lipetsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Strogino and 2.1 for Metallurg Lipetsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Metallurg Lipetsk to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Strogino 0–2 Metallurg Lipetsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Strogino12%fair 8.50 · @7.90
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.75
Metallurg Lipetsk68%fair 1.47 · @1.39
2.90Expected goals
0.77Strogino xG
2.13Metallurg Lipetsk xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Strogino 0.8 – 2.1 Metallurg Lipetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metallurg Lipetsk to win✗
68%
1.47
1.39
Double chance
Metallurg Lipetsk or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.86
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.39
Half-time result
Metallurg Lipetsk ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metallurg Lipetsk / FT Metallurg Lipetsk✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
Strogino – last 6
LDLLLD
23 May
@ Zenit Penza
0–1
L
8 May
@ Saturn Ramenskoye
1–1
D
2 May
@ SKA Khabarovsk II
2–4
L
26 Apr
vs Shumbrat
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–4
L
12 Apr
vs Avangard Kursk
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metallurg Lipetsk – last 4
WDLW
23 May
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
4–0
W
20 May
@ Avangard Kursk
1–1
D
8 May
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Kvant
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strogino and Metallurg Lipetsk.
What is the prediction for Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our pick is Metallurg Lipetsk to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
On our numbers Strogino have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Metallurg Lipetsk 68%.
How many goals will there be in Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our predicted score is Strogino 0–2 Metallurg Lipetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
