Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov preview and prediction
The match
Metallurg Lipetsk host FK Spartak Tambov in the Second League Group 3 on Friday 8 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Metallurg. Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th with 38 points from 22 games (in the top half), while FK Spartak Tambov sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Spartak Tambov's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Arsenal Tula II 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Metallurg Lipetsk and 1.3 for FK Spartak Tambov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Metallurg Lipetsk 1–1 FK Spartak Tambov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metallurg Lipetsk36%fair 2.80 · @2.44
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.54
FK Spartak Tambov44%fair 2.27 · @2.38
2.47Expected goals
1.15Metallurg Lipetsk xG
1.32FK Spartak Tambov xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Metallurg Lipetsk 1.1 – 1.3 FK Spartak Tambov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Spartak Tambov to win✓
44%
2.27
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.81
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Spartak Tambov / FT FK Spartak Tambov✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
8.96
–
Form
Metallurg Lipetsk – last 1
W
5 Apr
vs Kvant
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FK Spartak Tambov – last 4
DWWW
26 Apr
@ Arsenal Tula II
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Strogino
4–0
W
11 Apr
@ SKA Khabarovsk II
2–0
W
28 Mar
vs Saturn Ramenskoye
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metallurg Lipetsk and FK Spartak Tambov.
What is the prediction for Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
On our numbers Metallurg Lipetsk have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Spartak Tambov 44%.
How many goals will there be in Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our predicted score is Metallurg Lipetsk 1–1 FK Spartak Tambov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
