Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Mjallby AIF to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHammarby FF to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF preview and prediction
The match
Hammarby FF travel to Strawberry Arena in the Svenska Cupen on Thursday 14 May (14:30 WAT) to face Mjallby AIF.
Form guide
Mjallby AIF's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Malmo FF 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hammarby FF's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Vasteras SK FK 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mjallby AIF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Mjallby AIF and 1.7 for Hammarby FF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Value angle: Mjallby AIF to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mjallby AIF 1–1 Hammarby FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mjallby AIF38%fair 2.63 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Hammarby FF39%fair 2.56 · @2.10
3.29Expected goals
1.63Mjallby AIF xG
1.66Hammarby FF xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Mjallby AIF 1.6 – 1.7 Hammarby FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hammarby FF to win✗
39%
2.56
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hammarby FF / FT Hammarby FF✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.97
–
Form
Mjallby AIF – last 6
WWDDWW
3 May
@ Malmo FF
3–2
W
27 Apr
vs Halmstad
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ Gais
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ BK Hacken
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Gais
3–0
W
7 Mar
vs IFK Varnamo
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hammarby FF – last 6
WDDLDW
3 May
vs Vasteras SK FK
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Djurgardens IF
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Halmstad
1–1
D
13 Apr
@ Sirius
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Kongsvinger
3–3
D
15 Mar
vs Djurgardens IF
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mjallby AIF and Hammarby FF.
What is the prediction for Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
On our numbers Mjallby AIF have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hammarby FF 39%.
How many goals will there be in Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Our predicted score is Mjallby AIF 1–1 Hammarby FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF (Svenska Cupen) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Strawberry Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
