Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓73% · fair 1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗30% · fair 3.37
Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic preview and prediction
The match
The US Open Cup sees Valley 559 FC take on Sacramento Republic on Wednesday 1 April, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Fresno State Soccer Stadium.
Form guide
Sacramento Republic's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to El Paso Locomotive 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.2 for Valley 559 FC and 1.3 for Sacramento Republic. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valley 559 FC 9%, draw 19%, Sacramento Republic 72%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valley 559 FC 0–1 Sacramento Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valley 559 FC9%fair 11.57 · @9.25
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.80
Sacramento Republic72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
1.50Expected goals
0.17Valley 559 FC xG
1.33Sacramento Republic xG
27%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–130%
0–022%
0–220%
0–39%
1–15%
1–04%
From our goals model: Valley 559 FC 0.2 – 1.3 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacramento Republic to win✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Double chance
Sacramento Republic or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.55 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
30%
3.37
–
Form
Valley 559 FC – last 1
W
19 Mar
@ Alta
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sacramento Republic – last 5
LDDDW
29 Mar
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Monterey Bay
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs El Farolito
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Lexington
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs FC Tulsa
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valley 559 FC and Sacramento Republic.
What is the prediction for Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers Valley 559 FC have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sacramento Republic 72%.
How many goals will there be in Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 27% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is Valley 559 FC 0–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?
Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic (US Open Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Fresno State Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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