Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.17 – our chance 54% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevastopol to win ✓65% · @1.38
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.17
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash preview and prediction
The match
Kyzyltash travel to Sportyvnyj Kompleks in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 5 September (14:00 WAT) to face Sevastopol. Sevastopol are 1st with 50 points from 21 games (top of the table), while Kyzyltash sit 6th on 31 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sevastopol's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Spartak Nalchik 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Kyzyltash's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Nart Cherkessk 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Sevastopol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Kyzyltash 0–2 Sevastopol.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Sevastopol and 0.8 for Kyzyltash. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.17 – 54% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sevastopol 2–0 Kyzyltash. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sevastopol65%fair 1.54 · @1.38
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.30
Kyzyltash13%fair 7.50 · @7.50
2.77Expected goals
1.99Sevastopol xG
0.79Kyzyltash xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Sevastopol 2.0 – 0.8 Kyzyltash expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?
On our numbers Sevastopol have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kyzyltash 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?
Our predicted score is Sevastopol 2–0 Kyzyltash, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?
Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportyvnyj Kompleks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.