Astrakhan host Sevastopol in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 20 June, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadium Named after A.I. Kolosov. Astrakhan are 11th with 20 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Sevastopol sit 1st on 50 points (top of the table). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Astrakhan's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat PSK Dinskaya 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sevastopol's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Pobeda 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sevastopol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Astrakhan and 1.7 for Sevastopol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Astrakhan 0–1 Sevastopol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Astrakhan14%fair 7.25 · @4.90
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.52
Sevastopol61%fair 1.64 · @1.60
2.44Expected goals
0.71Astrakhan xG
1.74Sevastopol xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Astrakhan 0.7 – 1.7 Sevastopol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevastopol to win✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Double chance
Sevastopol or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.23
Half-time result
Sevastopol ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
Astrakhan – last 6
WLWWLL
13 Jun
@ PSK Dinskaya
4–1
W
6 Jun
vs Shahter Taganrog
0–3
L
24 May
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
2–0
W
8 May
vs Izberbash
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Angust Nazran
0–1
L
28 Mar
vs Spartak Nalchik
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sevastopol – last 6
WWDWLW
13 Jun
vs Pobeda
2–1
W
6 Jun
@ Nart Cherkessk
1–0
W
30 May
vs Druzhba
0–0
D
23 May
@ Kyzyltash
2–0
W
8 May
@ Rubin Yalta
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Lugansk
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Astrakhan and Sevastopol.
What is the prediction for Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
On our numbers Astrakhan have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sevastopol 61%.
How many goals will there be in Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
Our predicted score is Astrakhan 0–1 Sevastopol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
Astrakhan vs Sevastopol (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Named after A.I. Kolosov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
