Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.22 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevastopol to win ✗65% · @1.33
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✗84% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.22
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.06
Rubin Yalta vs Sevastopol preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 1 sees Rubin Yalta take on Sevastopol on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Avangard Stadium. Rubin Yalta are 4th with 34 points from 20 games (in the top four), while Sevastopol sit 1st on 50 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Rubin Yalta and 1.7 for Sevastopol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.22 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Rubin Yalta 0–1 Sevastopol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubin Yalta16%fair 6.41 · @7.70
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.30
Sevastopol65%fair 1.55 · @1.33
2.33Expected goals
0.64Rubin Yalta xG
1.69Sevastopol xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Rubin Yalta 0.6 – 1.7 Sevastopol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevastopol to win✗
65%
1.55
1.33
Double chance
Sevastopol or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.22 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.06
–
Form
Rubin Yalta – last 2
LW
4 Apr
vs Shahter Taganrog
0–2
L
28 Mar
@ FK Chayka 2
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sevastopol – last 1
W
28 Mar
@ Lugansk
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubin Yalta and Sevastopol.
What is the prediction for Rubin Yalta vs Sevastopol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Rubin Yalta vs Sevastopol?
On our numbers Rubin Yalta have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sevastopol 65%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin Yalta vs Sevastopol?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin Yalta vs Sevastopol?
Our predicted score is Rubin Yalta 0–1 Sevastopol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Rubin Yalta vs Sevastopol?
Rubin Yalta vs Sevastopol (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
