Value bet: Larne to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGlentoran to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Glentoran vs Larne preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Glentoran take on Larne on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at The BetMcLean Oval. Glentoran are 4th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Larne sit 3rd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Glentoran's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Cliftonville FC 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Larne's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Coleraine FC 1–4 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Glentoran arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Glentoran and 1.3 for Larne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Glentoran 40%, draw 24%, Larne 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Larne to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Glentoran 1–1 Larne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Glentoran40%fair 2.49 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Larne35%fair 2.82 · @3.30
2.69Expected goals
1.40Glentoran xG
1.29Larne xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Glentoran 1.4 – 1.3 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Glentoran to win✗
40%
2.49
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Glentoran / FT Glentoran✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
Glentoran – last 6
WWDWWW
7 Apr
@ Cliftonville FC
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Cliftonville FC
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Linfield
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Bangor
4–0
W
3 Mar
vs Carrick Rangers
1–0
W
24 Feb
@ Cliftonville FC
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Larne – last 5
LWWDL
7 Apr
vs Coleraine FC
1–4
L
20 Mar
@ Glenavon FC
3–0
W
13 Mar
vs Dungannon Swifts
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Linfield
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Carrick Rangers
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Glentoran and Larne.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Glentoran vs Larne?
On our numbers Glentoran have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Larne 35%.
How many goals will there be in Glentoran vs Larne?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Glentoran vs Larne?
Our predicted score is Glentoran 1–1 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Glentoran vs Larne?
Glentoran vs Larne (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The BetMcLean Oval.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
