Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.49 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
2
Value bet: FK Neftekhimik to win @ 3.64 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKAMAZ to win ✗45% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik preview and prediction
The match
KAMAZ host FK Neftekhimik in the First League on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at KAMAZ Stadium. KAMAZ are 16th with 14 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while FK Neftekhimik sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
KAMAZ's last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to Enisey 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FK Neftekhimik's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Rotor Volgograd 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
KAMAZ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for KAMAZ and 1.0 for FK Neftekhimik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KAMAZ 45%, draw 24%, FK Neftekhimik 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: FK Neftekhimik to win at 3.64 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: KAMAZ 1–1 FK Neftekhimik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KAMAZ45%fair 2.22 · @2.13
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.99
FK Neftekhimik31%fair 3.19 · @3.64
2.32Expected goals
1.30KAMAZ xG
1.02FK Neftekhimik xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: KAMAZ 1.3 – 1.0 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KAMAZ to win✗
45%
2.22
2.13
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KAMAZ / FT KAMAZ✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.82
–
Form
KAMAZ – last 4
LDWW
8 Mar
@ Enisey
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Arsenal Tula
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Lokomotiv
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Chelyabinsk
5–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LLWLDD
5 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–3
L
1 Apr
vs Fakel
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Tekstilshchik
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KAMAZ and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers KAMAZ have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Neftekhimik 31%.
How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is KAMAZ 1–1 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
