A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Universidad de Chile or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Universidad de Chile to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.57
A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile preview and prediction
The match
A. Italiano host Universidad de Chile in the on Tuesday 31 March, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Form guide
A. Italiano's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat D. La Serena 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Universidad de Chile's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Union La Calera 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
A. Italiano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for A. Italiano and 1.7 for Universidad de Chile. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: A. Italiano 15%, draw 22%, Universidad de Chile 63%.
Safer route: Universidad de Chile or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Universidad de Chile to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universidad de Chile or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: A. Italiano 0–1 Universidad de Chile. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
A. Italiano15%fair 6.73 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Universidad de Chile63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
2.44Expected goals
0.70A. Italiano xG
1.74Universidad de Chile xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: A. Italiano 0.7 – 1.7 Universidad de Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win✓
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Universidad de Chile or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Universidad de Chile ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.57
–
Form
A. Italiano – last 6
WWWLWL
26 Mar
vs D. La Serena
3–1
W
21 Mar
@ Union La Calera
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Concepción
3–0
W
28 Feb
@ Union La Calera
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Everton de Vina
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nublense
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Universidad de Chile – last 5
LDDLD
24 Mar
vs Union La Calera
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Palestino
1–2
L
23 Feb
vs Deportes Limache
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between A. Italiano and Universidad de Chile.
What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?
Our pick is Universidad de Chile or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?
On our numbers A. Italiano have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universidad de Chile 63%.
How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?
Our predicted score is A. Italiano 0–1 Universidad de Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?
A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile () kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Palestino1
O'Higgins3
Universidad de Concepcion0
Nublense2