A. Italiano vs D. La Serena preview and prediction
The match
The sees A. Italiano take on D. La Serena on Thursday 26 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Form guide
A. Italiano's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Union La Calera 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
D. La Serena's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Universidad de Chile 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for A. Italiano and 1.1 for D. La Serena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: A. Italiano 46%, draw 22%, D. La Serena 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: A. Italiano 1–1 D. La Serena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
A. Italiano46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
D. La Serena32%fair 3.14 · @3.20
2.47Expected goals
1.39A. Italiano xG
1.09D. La Serena xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.4 – 1.1 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
A. Italiano to win✓
46%
2.16
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT A. Italiano / FT A. Italiano✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
A. Italiano – last 5
WWLWL
21 Mar
@ Union La Calera
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Concepción
3–0
W
28 Feb
@ Union La Calera
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Everton de Vina
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nublense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
D. La Serena – last 5
DDWWD
20 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ Nublense
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Union La Calera
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Cobresal
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between A. Italiano and D. La Serena.
What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
On our numbers A. Italiano have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and D. La Serena 32%.
How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–1 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
A. Italiano vs D. La Serena () kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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