Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Gwelup Croatia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGwelup Croatia to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville preview and prediction
The match
Murdoch Melville travel to Croatian Sports Centre in the Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday 9 May (08:00 WAT) to face Gwelup Croatia.
Form guide
Gwelup Croatia's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Cockburn City 4–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Murdoch Melville's last 4: WDDD Most recently they beat Subiaco 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Gwelup Croatia and 1.2 for Murdoch Melville. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Gwelup Croatia to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gwelup Croatia 2–1 Murdoch Melville. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gwelup Croatia63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.81 · @3.75
Murdoch Melville22%fair 4.56 · @3.00
3.34Expected goals
2.19Gwelup Croatia xG
1.16Murdoch Melville xG
53%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Gwelup Croatia 2.2 – 1.2 Murdoch Melville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gwelup Croatia to win✗
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Gwelup Croatia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gwelup Croatia / FT Gwelup Croatia✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Gwelup Croatia – last 5
DWWDL
6 May
vs Cockburn City
4–4
D
25 Apr
@ Inglewood United
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Curtin University
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs UWA Nedlands
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Joondalup City
1–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Murdoch Melville – last 4
WDDD
25 Apr
vs Subiaco
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Quinns FC
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Inglewood United
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Cockburn City
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gwelup Croatia and Murdoch Melville.
What is the prediction for Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?
Our pick is Gwelup Croatia to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?
On our numbers Gwelup Croatia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Murdoch Melville 22%.
How many goals will there be in Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?
Our predicted score is Gwelup Croatia 2–1 Murdoch Melville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?
Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville (Western Australia State League 1) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Croatian Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Western Australia State League 1 · Australia · Croatian Sports Centre
Inglewood United2
Mandurah City1
Joondalup City0
Kingsley Westside0
Curtin University0
UWA Nedlands3