Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMuharraq to win ✓72% · @1.25
Double chanceMuharraq or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Muharraq vs Budaiya preview and prediction
The match
Muharraq host Budaiya in the Premier League on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Muharraq's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Al Riffa 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Budaiya's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Al Najma 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Muharraq arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for Muharraq and 0.7 for Budaiya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Muharraq 72%, draw 18%, Budaiya 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Muharraq to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Muharraq 2–0 Budaiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Muharraq72%fair 1.40 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.75
Budaiya10%fair 10.04 · @11.00
2.83Expected goals
2.16Muharraq xG
0.67Budaiya xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Muharraq 2.2 – 0.7 Budaiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muharraq to win✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Double chance
Muharraq or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Half-time result
Muharraq ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muharraq / FT Muharraq✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Muharraq – last 6
WWWLLW
24 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Al-Hidd
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Sitra
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Khalidiya
0–3
L
12 Mar
@ Al Riffa
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Al Shabab
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Budaiya – last 4
WLLL
16 Apr
@ Al Najma
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Al-Hidd
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Sitra
0–3
L
19 Feb
vs Al Riffa
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muharraq and Budaiya.
Our pick is Muharraq to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Muharraq vs Budaiya?
On our numbers Muharraq have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Budaiya 10%.
How many goals will there be in Muharraq vs Budaiya?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muharraq vs Budaiya?
Our predicted score is Muharraq 2–0 Budaiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Muharraq vs Budaiya?
Muharraq vs Budaiya (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.