Value bet: Budaiya to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Najma to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Al Najma vs Budaiya preview and prediction
The match
Budaiya travel to face Al Najma in the Premier League on Thursday 16 April (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Al Najma's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Al Shabab 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Budaiya's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Al-Hidd 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Al Najma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Al Najma and 1.2 for Budaiya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najma 44%, draw 22%, Budaiya 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Budaiya to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al Najma 1–1 Budaiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najma44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Budaiya34%fair 2.94 · @3.30
2.54Expected goals
1.37Al Najma xG
1.16Budaiya xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.4 – 1.2 Budaiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✗
44%
2.27
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Form
Al Najma – last 3
DWL
2 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al-Hidd
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Al Ahli
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Budaiya – last 3
LLL
3 Apr
vs Al-Hidd
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Sitra
0–3
L
19 Feb
vs Al Riffa
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Budaiya.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Najma vs Budaiya?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Budaiya 34%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Budaiya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Budaiya?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 Budaiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Budaiya?
Al Najma vs Budaiya (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
