Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Macara vs Alianza Atletico preview and prediction
The match
Macara host Alianza Atletico in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 1st with 10 points from 6 games, while Alianza Atletico sit 4th on 2 points.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Manta FC 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Atletico's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Garcilaso 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Macara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Alianza Atletico 0–2 Macara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Macara and 0.6 for Alianza Atletico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Macara 1–0 Alianza Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara65%fair 1.53 · @1.39
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.20
Alianza Atletico16%fair 6.34 · @8.90
2.37Expected goals
1.72Macara xG
0.65Alianza Atletico xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Macara 1.7 – 0.6 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Macara vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Macara vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Macara have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alianza Atletico 16%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Alianza Atletico?
Macara vs Alianza Atletico (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.