Friday, 13 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Bellavista

Macara

WDWLW
0–0
FT

Macara vs Alianza Atletico prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMacara to win ✗65% · @1.39
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21

Macara vs Alianza Atletico preview and prediction

The match

Macara host Alianza Atletico in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 1st with 10 points from 6 games, while Alianza Atletico sit 4th on 2 points.

Form guide

Macara's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Manta FC 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Alianza Atletico's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Garcilaso 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Macara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Alianza Atletico 0–2 Macara.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Macara and 0.6 for Alianza Atletico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Macara 1–0 Alianza Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Macara65%fair 1.53 · @1.39
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.20
Alianza Atletico16%fair 6.34 · @8.90
2.37Expected goals
1.72Macara xG
0.65Alianza Atletico xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Macara 1.7 – 0.6 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win ✗65%1.531.39
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓84%1.191.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.901.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Half-time resultMacara ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✗39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.21–

Form

Macara – last 6

WDWLWW
11 May@ Manta FC1–0W
7 Mayvs Tigre2–2D
1 May@ Alianza Atletico2–0W
24 Apr@ Universidad Catolica0–4L
20 Aprvs Barcelona SC3–1W
16 Apr@ Tigre1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Alianza Atletico – last 6

LLLWLL
11 May@ Deportivo Garcilaso1–2L
7 Mayvs America de Cali0–2L
1 Mayvs Macara0–2L
27 Apr@ Universitario2–1W
22 Apr@ Comerciantes Unidos0–1L
16 Apr@ America de Cali1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Alianza Atletico v Macara0–2
Macara vs Alianza Atletico head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara6240+310
2Tigre6231+39
3America de Cali6231+19
4Alianza Atletico6024-72

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Alianza Atletico?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Macara vs Alianza Atletico?

On our numbers Macara have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alianza Atletico 16%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Alianza Atletico?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Alianza Atletico?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Alianza Atletico?

Macara vs Alianza Atletico (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.