Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
CSKA Moscow or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 1.78 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✓61% · @1.78
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.36
Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Krylia Sovetov take on CSKA Moscow on Tuesday 7 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Samara Arena.
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Zenit 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CSKA Moscow's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Akron 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Krylia Sovetov and 2.0 for CSKA Moscow. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: CSKA Moscow to win at 1.78 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CSKA Moscow or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Krylia Sovetov 0–1 CSKA Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Krylia Sovetov18%fair 5.65 · @4.70
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.80
CSKA Moscow61%fair 1.64 · @1.78
2.91Expected goals
0.95Krylia Sovetov xG
1.96CSKA Moscow xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.0 – 2.0 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
61%
1.64
1.78 ▲
Double chance
CSKA Moscow or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.98
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.28
Half-time result
CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.36
–
Form
Krylia Sovetov – last 6
LDLWWL
4 Apr
@ Zenit
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Rubin
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs FC Orenburg
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Dynamo
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CSKA Moscow – last 6
WLLWLW
4 Apr
@ Akron
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ FC Krasnodar
0–4
L
8 Mar
vs Dynamo
1–4
L
4 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Akhmat
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs FC Rostov
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Krylia Sovetov and CSKA Moscow.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow?
Our pick is CSKA Moscow or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CSKA Moscow 61%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 0–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow?
Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
