CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma prediction & analysis
71%
Footrivo pick
CD Motagua to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.28
7/10Rating
1.28Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Motagua to win71% · @1.28
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011% · fair 8.95
CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma preview and prediction
The match
CD Motagua host Atlético Choloma in the Liga Nacional on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Atlético Choloma sit 9th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Olancho 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Atlético Choloma's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 1–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Atlético Choloma 1–3 CD Motagua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for CD Motagua and 0.9 for Atlético Choloma. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 71%, draw 16%, Atlético Choloma 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Motagua to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: CD Motagua 2–0 Atlético Choloma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua71%fair 1.42 · @1.28
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @5.25
Atlético Choloma13%fair 7.73 · @7.00
3.18Expected goals
2.32CD Motagua xG
0.86Atlético Choloma xG
50%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.3 – 0.9 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Atlético Choloma 13%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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