Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlancho to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Olancho vs CD Motagua preview and prediction
The match
Olancho host CD Motagua in the Liga Nacional on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Olancho are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CD Motagua sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Olancho's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Victoria 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Motagua's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Juticalpa 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished CD Motagua 1–1 Olancho.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Olancho and 1.3 for CD Motagua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olancho 44%, draw 22%, CD Motagua 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Olancho 1–1 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olancho44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
CD Motagua34%fair 2.91 · @2.90
2.72Expected goals
1.46Olancho xG
1.26CD Motagua xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.5 – 1.3 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Olancho vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Olancho have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Motagua 34%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs CD Motagua?
Olancho vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
