Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓69% · @1.17
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.56
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees CD Motagua take on Juticalpa on Monday 20 April, kicking off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Juticalpa sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Victoria 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Juticalpa's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Platense FC 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 February 2026, finished Juticalpa 1–2 CD Motagua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for CD Motagua and 0.9 for Juticalpa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 69%, draw 21%, Juticalpa 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: CD Motagua 2–1 Juticalpa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua69%fair 1.44 · @1.17
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @6.00
Juticalpa9%fair 10.75 · @14.00
3.32Expected goals
2.44CD Motagua xG
0.88Juticalpa xG
54%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.4 – 0.9 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Juticalpa 9%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–1 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria0