Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Marathon to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Real Espana vs CD Marathon preview and prediction
The match
Real Espana host CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT). Real Espana are 2nd with 29 points from 14 games (in the top four), while CD Marathon sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Espana's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with CD Motagua 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
CD Marathon's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Juticalpa 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Real Espana and 1.4 for CD Marathon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Espana 34%, draw 26%, CD Marathon 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Espana 1–1 CD Marathon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Espana34%fair 2.96 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
CD Marathon41%fair 2.46 · @2.62
2.64Expected goals
1.25Real Espana xG
1.39CD Marathon xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Real Espana 1.2 – 1.4 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Marathon to win✗
41%
2.46
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Real Espana – last 6
DWLWDD
23 Mar
@ CD Motagua
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Génesis
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Olancho
0–3
L
12 Mar
vs Victoria
4–1
W
9 Mar
@ CD Olimpia
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Platense FC
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CD Marathon – last 6
WDLDDD
18 Mar
@ Juticalpa
4–0
W
11 Mar
@ Atlético Choloma
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Génesis
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Olancho
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ CD Motagua
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Platense FC
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Espana and CD Marathon.
What is the prediction for Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Real Espana have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CD Marathon 41%.
How many goals will there be in Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Real Espana 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
Real Espana vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
