The Liga Nacional sees Victoria take on CD Motagua on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Victoria's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Atlético Choloma 2–5 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
CD Motagua's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Victoria and 2.0 for CD Motagua. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Victoria 17%, draw 19%, CD Motagua 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Victoria 0–2 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Victoria17%fair 5.74 · @5.50
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.95
CD Motagua63%fair 1.58 · @1.50
2.96Expected goals
0.94Victoria xG
2.02CD Motagua xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Victoria 0.9 – 2.0 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Half-time result
CD Motagua ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.42
–
Form
Victoria – last 6
LLWLLL
14 Apr
vs Atlético Choloma
2–5
L
9 Apr
@ CD Olimpia
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Lobos Upnfm
3–2
W
16 Mar
vs Platense FC
2–3
L
12 Mar
@ Real Espana
1–4
L
1 Mar
@ Juticalpa
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
CD Motagua – last 6
LLWDWW
13 Apr
vs CD Olimpia
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ CD Marathon
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Génesis
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Real Espana
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Platense FC
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Lobos Upnfm
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoria and CD Motagua.
What is the prediction for Victoria vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Victoria vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Victoria have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and CD Motagua 63%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Victoria 0–2 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Victoria vs CD Motagua?
Victoria vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
