Saham travel to face Al-Shabab in the Professional League on Thursday 30 April (17:20 WAT). Al-Shabab are 2nd with 12 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Saham sit 5th on 10 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al-Shabab's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Al Kuwait 3–5 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Saham's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Al Seeb 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Al-Shabab arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Al-Shabab and 0.8 for Saham. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Shabab 69%, draw 20%, Saham 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Al-Shabab 2–0 Saham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Shabab69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @4.10
Saham11%fair 8.78 · @6.60
2.91Expected goals
2.15Al-Shabab xG
0.76Saham xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Shabab 2.2 – 0.8 Saham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Shabab to win✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Double chance
Al-Shabab or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Half-time result
Al-Shabab ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Shabab / FT Al-Shabab✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Al-Shabab – last 6
LWLWWW
19 Apr
vs Al Kuwait
3–5
L
10 Apr
@ Smail
7–0
W
16 Mar
@ Al Nasr
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Sohar
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Al-Nahda
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al-Khabourah
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Saham – last 5
LDDLL
10 Apr
vs Al Seeb
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Al-Rustaq
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Sur
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Smail
0–4
L
16 Feb
@ Bahla
1–4
L
0.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Shabab and Saham.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al-Shabab vs Saham?
On our numbers Al-Shabab have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Saham 11%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Shabab vs Saham?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Shabab vs Saham?
Our predicted score is Al-Shabab 2–0 Saham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al-Shabab vs Saham?
Al-Shabab vs Saham (Professional League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 17:20 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
