Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Shabab to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Smail vs Al-Shabab preview and prediction
The match
Smail host Al-Shabab in the Professional League on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Smail are 11th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Al-Shabab sit 2nd on 12 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Smail's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Al Seeb 1–2 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Shabab's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Al Nasr 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Shabab arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Smail and 1.9 for Al-Shabab. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Smail 11%, draw 23%, Al-Shabab 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Shabab to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Smail 0–1 Al-Shabab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smail11%fair 9.42 · @4.60
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Al-Shabab66%fair 1.50 · @1.73
2.55Expected goals
0.64Smail xG
1.91Al-Shabab xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Smail 0.6 – 1.9 Al-Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Shabab to win✓
66%
1.50
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Al-Shabab or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Half-time result
Al-Shabab ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Shabab / FT Al-Shabab✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.71
–
Form
Smail – last 5
LDWDW
5 Apr
@ Al Seeb
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Dhofar
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Al-Rustaq
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs Sur
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Saham
4–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Al-Shabab – last 5
LWWWW
16 Mar
@ Al Nasr
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Sohar
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Al-Nahda
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al-Khabourah
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibri
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smail and Al-Shabab.
Our pick is Al-Shabab to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Smail vs Al-Shabab?
On our numbers Smail have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Shabab 66%.
How many goals will there be in Smail vs Al-Shabab?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smail vs Al-Shabab?
Our predicted score is Smail 0–1 Al-Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Smail vs Al-Shabab?
Smail vs Al-Shabab (Professional League) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Khabourah0