Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJapan W to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceJapan W or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.82
Japan W vs Australia W preview and prediction
The match
Japan W host Australia W in the Asian Cup Women on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Accor Stadium.
Form guide
Japan W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat South Korea W 4–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 5.6 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Australia W's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat China W 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 3.0 for Japan W and 1.6 for Australia W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 84% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Japan W 65%, draw 18%, Australia W 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Japan W 2–1 Australia W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Japan W65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @3.80
Australia W17%fair 5.85 · @5.00
4.60Expected goals
3.00Japan W xG
1.60Australia W xG
66%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
4–15%
1–15%
From our goals model: Japan W 3.0 – 1.6 Australia W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Japan W to win✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Double chance
Japan W or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Japan W ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Japan W / FT Japan W✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.82
–
Form
Japan W – last 5
WWWWW
18 Mar
@ South Korea W
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Philippines W
7–0
W
10 Mar
vs Vietnam W
4–0
W
7 Mar
@ India W
11–0
W
4 Mar
vs Chinese Taipei W
2–0
W
5.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Australia W – last 5
WWDWW
17 Mar
@ China W
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Korea DPR
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs South Korea W
3–3
D
5 Mar
@ Iran W
4–0
W
1 Mar
vs Philippines W
1–0
W
2.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Japan W and Australia W.
What is the prediction for Japan W vs Australia W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Japan W vs Australia W?
On our numbers Japan W have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Australia W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Japan W vs Australia W?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Japan W vs Australia W?
Our predicted score is Japan W 2–1 Australia W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Japan W vs Australia W?
Japan W vs Australia W (Asian Cup Women) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Accor Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
