Double chanceShakhter Karagandy or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.49
Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik preview and prediction
The match
Shakhter Karagandy host Akademiya Ontustik in the 1. Division on Thursday 8 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Shakhter Stadion. Shakhter Karagandy are 1st with 65 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Akademiya Ontustik sit 4th on 43 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shakhter Karagandy's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Taraz 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Akademiya Ontustik's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Jaiyq 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 July 2026, finished Akademiya Ontustik 1–2 Shakhter Karagandy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Shakhter Karagandy and 0.8 for Akademiya Ontustik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Shakhter Karagandy to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Shakhter Karagandy 2–0 Akademiya Ontustik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shakhter Karagandy70%fair 1.43 · @1.23
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @5.35
Akademiya Ontustik12%fair 8.01 · @9.00
3.06Expected goals
2.24Shakhter Karagandy xG
0.82Akademiya Ontustik xG
48%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Shakhter Karagandy 2.2 – 0.8 Akademiya Ontustik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?
Our pick is Shakhter Karagandy to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?
On our numbers Shakhter Karagandy have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Akademiya Ontustik 12%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?
Our predicted score is Shakhter Karagandy 2–0 Akademiya Ontustik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?
Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik (1. Division) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Shakhter Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
