Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVelež to win ✓63% · @1.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Velež vs Sloga Doboj preview and prediction
The match
Velež host Sloga Doboj in the Cup on Wednesday 8 April, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Form guide
Velež's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Zrinjski 0–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sloga Doboj's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Rudar Prijedor 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Velež arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Velež and 0.9 for Sloga Doboj. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Velež 2–0 Sloga Doboj. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velež63%fair 1.58 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @4.20
Sloga Doboj19%fair 5.18 · @7.80
2.84Expected goals
1.93Velež xG
0.91Sloga Doboj xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Velež 1.9 – 0.9 Sloga Doboj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velež to win✓
63%
1.58
1.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Half-time result
Velež ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velež / FT Velež✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Velež – last 6
LWWWWW
3 Apr
vs Zrinjski
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Rudar Prijedor
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs FK Sarajevo
4–1
W
6 Mar
vs Posušje
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ FK Sarajevo
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sloga Doboj – last 5
LLWLL
3 Apr
@ Rudar Prijedor
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Siroki Brijeg
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Borac Banja Luka
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs FK Sarajevo
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velež and Sloga Doboj.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Velež vs Sloga Doboj?
On our numbers Velež have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sloga Doboj 19%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Sloga Doboj?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Sloga Doboj?
Our predicted score is Velež 2–0 Sloga Doboj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Sloga Doboj?
Velež vs Sloga Doboj (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zrinjski0