Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArarat-Armenia to win ✗63% · @1.50
Double chanceArarat-Armenia or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert preview and prediction
The match
Ararat-Armenia host Alashkert in the Premier League on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Football Academy Stadium. Ararat-Armenia are 3rd with 29 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Alashkert sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ararat-Armenia's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Shirak 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alashkert's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Pyunik Yerevan 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Ararat-Armenia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Ararat-Armenia and 0.7 for Alashkert. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Alashkert. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat-Armenia63%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.60
Alashkert15%fair 6.74 · @6.20
2.48Expected goals
1.76Ararat-Armenia xG
0.72Alashkert xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 1.8 – 0.7 Alashkert expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Double chance
Ararat-Armenia or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Ararat-Armenia ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ararat-Armenia / FT Ararat-Armenia✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Form
Ararat-Armenia – last 4
WDWW
2 Apr
@ Shirak
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Van
2–2
D
16 Mar
vs Van
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Shirak
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alashkert – last 3
LLL
21 Mar
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat-Armenia and Alashkert.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alashkert 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Alashkert, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
