Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Croatia Zmijavci to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCroatia Zmijavci to win64% · @1.91
Double chanceCroatia Zmijavci or draw85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.93
Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun preview and prediction
The match
Croatia Zmijavci host Jarun in the First NL on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Croatia Zmijavci's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Rudes 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Jarun's last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to Opatija 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Croatia Zmijavci and 0.6 for Jarun. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Croatia Zmijavci or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Croatia Zmijavci to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Croatia Zmijavci or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Croatia Zmijavci 1–0 Jarun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Croatia Zmijavci64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @2.90
Jarun15%fair 6.81 · @4.00
2.29Expected goals
1.66Croatia Zmijavci xG
0.63Jarun xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Croatia Zmijavci 1.7 – 0.6 Jarun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Croatia Zmijavci to win
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Croatia Zmijavci or draw
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Croatia Zmijavci / FT Croatia Zmijavci
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.93
–
Form
Croatia Zmijavci – last 6
LLDLWW
26 Apr
vs Rudes
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ HNK Cibalia
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Rudes
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Orijent 1919
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Hrvace
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Jarun – last 4
LWDL
24 Apr
@ Opatija
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Orijent 1919
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Dugopolje
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ HNK Cibalia
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Croatia Zmijavci and Jarun.
What is the prediction for Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?
Our pick is Croatia Zmijavci or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?
On our numbers Croatia Zmijavci have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jarun 15%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?
Our predicted score is Croatia Zmijavci 1–0 Jarun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?
Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun (First NL) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
