Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FC Bacau to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Bacau to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceFC Bacau or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.39
FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa preview and prediction
The match
Dumbrăviţa travel to Baza Sportiva FC Bacau in the Liga II on Saturday 2 May (09:00 WAT) to face FC Bacau. FC Bacau are 11th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Dumbrăviţa sit 22nd on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Bacau's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Concordia 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Dumbrăviţa's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat CSM Reşiţa 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for FC Bacau and 0.7 for Dumbrăviţa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Bacau 63%, draw 24%, Dumbrăviţa 13%.
Safer route: FC Bacau or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: FC Bacau to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Bacau or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Bacau 1–0 Dumbrăviţa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Bacau63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.35
Dumbrăviţa13%fair 7.81 · @3.55
2.64Expected goals
1.89FC Bacau xG
0.75Dumbrăviţa xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Bacau 1.9 – 0.7 Dumbrăviţa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Bacau to win✓
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Double chance
FC Bacau or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
FC Bacau ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Bacau / FT FC Bacau✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.39
–
Form
FC Bacau – last 6
LWLLWW
25 Apr
@ Concordia
0–2
L
18 Apr
vs CS Afumati
3–1
W
10 Apr
vs CSM Satu Mare
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ CSM Reşiţa
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Tunari
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Slatina
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dumbrăviţa – last 6
WLDLLW
25 Apr
vs CSM Reşiţa
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ Tunari
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ CSM Satu Mare
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Concordia
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Concordia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Bacau and Dumbrăviţa.
What is the prediction for FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa?
Our pick is FC Bacau or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa?
On our numbers FC Bacau have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dumbrăviţa 13%.
How many goals will there be in FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa?
Our predicted score is FC Bacau 1–0 Dumbrăviţa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa?
FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Baza Sportiva FC Bacau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.