FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 10 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Bacau to win ✗67% · @1.67

Double chanceFC Bacau or draw ✗88% · @1.13

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.78

FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare preview and prediction

The match

The Liga II sees FC Bacau take on CSM Satu Mare on Friday 10 April, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT). FC Bacau are 11th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while CSM Satu Mare sit 18th on 9 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

FC Bacau's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to CSM Reşiţa 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

CSM Satu Mare's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Dumbrăviţa 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

FC Bacau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for FC Bacau and 0.7 for CSM Satu Mare. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Win chances: FC Bacau 67%, draw 21%, CSM Satu Mare 12%.
Safer route: FC Bacau or draw (88%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was FC Bacau to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Bacau 2–0 CSM Satu Mare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Bacau67%fair 1.50 · @1.67

Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60

CSM Satu Mare12%fair 8.32 · @4.50

2.77Expected goals

2.02FC Bacau xG

0.74CSM Satu Mare xG

58%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%

1–013%

2–110%

1–19%

3–09%

3–16%

From our goals model: FC Bacau 2.0 – 0.7 CSM Satu Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Bacau to win ✗	67%	1.50	1.67 ▲
Double chance	FC Bacau or draw ✗	88%	1.14	1.13
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.73	1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.91	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	1.36
Half-time result	FC Bacau ahead at half-time ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Bacau / FT FC Bacau ✗	44%	2.30	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0 ✗	13%	7.78	–

Form

FC Bacau – last 6

LWWWDW

4 Apr	@ CSM Reşiţa	0–1	L
21 Mar	vs Tunari	1–0	W
14 Mar	vs Slatina	3–2	W
6 Mar	@ FC Voluntari	2–1	W
28 Feb	vs Gloria Bistriţa	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ Metalul Buzău	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

CSM Satu Mare – last 6

WLWLDL

4 Apr	vs Dumbrăviţa	3–2	W
21 Mar	@ CSM Reşiţa	0–2	L
14 Mar	vs CS Dinamo București	2–0	W
7 Mar	@ Concordia	2–4	L
28 Feb	vs Tunari	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ Politehnica Iasi	0–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chindia Targoviste	13	10	0	3	+19	30
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	13	8	5	0	+13	29
3	Slatina	13	9	1	3	+9	28
4	Popești-Leordeni	13	8	3	2	+9	27
5	Concordia	13	8	1	4	+14	25
6	CSM Reşiţa	13	8	1	4	+4	25
7	Metalul Buzău	13	7	3	3	+6	24
8	Cetatea Suceava	13	6	4	3	+8	22
9	Metaloglobus	13	6	3	4	+2	21
10	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	13	6	2	5	-1	20
11	FC Bacau	13	5	4	4	+9	19
12	Bihor Oradea	13	5	4	4	+7	19
13	CS Afumati	13	5	3	5	-1	18
14	Gloria Bistriţa	13	6	0	7	-2	18
15	Unirea Slobozia	13	4	2	7	+2	14
16	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	13	2	5	6	-7	11
17	ASA Targu Mures	13	3	2	8	-13	11
18	CSM Satu Mare	13	1	6	6	-8	9
19	Viitorul Şelimbăr	13	2	3	8	-16	9
20	Ştefăneşti	13	3	0	10	-20	9
21	CS Dinamo București	13	2	2	9	-17	8
22	Dumbrăviţa	13	0	4	9	-17	4

Team

Pts

Chindia Targoviste

+19

FC Politehnica Timisoara

+13

+14

-1

-1

-2

-7

-13

-8

-16

-20

-17

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

Our pick is FC Bacau to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

On our numbers FC Bacau have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CSM Satu Mare 12%.

How many goals will there be in FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

Our predicted score is FC Bacau 2–0 CSM Satu Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare (Liga II) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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Match result

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Exact outcomes