Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJapan W to win ✓72% · @1.28
Double chanceJapan W or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.17
South Korea W vs Japan W preview and prediction
The match
The Asian Cup Women sees South Korea W take on Japan W on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Accor Stadium.
Form guide
South Korea W's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Uzbekistan W 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Japan W's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Philippines W 7–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 6.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Japan W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.1 for South Korea W and 3.0 for Japan W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Korea W 7%, draw 21%, Japan W 72%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: South Korea W 1–3 Japan W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Korea W7%fair 14.71 · @9.20
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.40
Japan W72%fair 1.38 · @1.28
4.09Expected goals
1.08South Korea W xG
3.01Japan W xG
55%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–28%
0–38%
0–28%
1–46%
0–46%
From our goals model: South Korea W 1.1 – 3.0 Japan W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Japan W to win✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Double chance
Japan W or draw✓
93%
1.07
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Japan W ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Japan W / FT Japan W✓
53%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.17
–
Form
South Korea W – last 4
WDWW
14 Mar
vs Uzbekistan W
6–0
W
8 Mar
@ Australia W
3–3
D
5 Mar
@ Philippines W
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs Iran W
3–0
W
3.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Japan W – last 4
WWWW
15 Mar
vs Philippines W
7–0
W
10 Mar
vs Vietnam W
4–0
W
7 Mar
@ India W
11–0
W
4 Mar
vs Chinese Taipei W
2–0
W
6.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Korea W and Japan W.
What is the prediction for South Korea W vs Japan W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win South Korea W vs Japan W?
On our numbers South Korea W have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Japan W 72%.
How many goals will there be in South Korea W vs Japan W?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Korea W vs Japan W?
Our predicted score is South Korea W 1–3 Japan W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is South Korea W vs Japan W?
South Korea W vs Japan W (Asian Cup Women) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Accor Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
