Value bet: El Geish to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMasr to win ✗38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.75
El Geish vs Masr preview and prediction
The match
El Geish host Masr in the Cup on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.
Form guide
El Geish's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Al Ahly 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Masr's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Future FC 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Geish arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for El Geish and 1.0 for Masr. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Geish 35%, draw 27%, Masr 38%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.50.
Value angle: El Geish to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: El Geish 0–0 Masr. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Geish35%fair 2.87 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.65
Masr38%fair 2.65 · @2.45
1.87Expected goals
0.91El Geish xG
0.96Masr xG
49%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: El Geish 0.9 – 1.0 Masr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Masr to win✗
38%
2.65
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
El Geish – last 3
WWD
9 Mar
vs Al Ahly
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Petrojet
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Kahraba Ismailia
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Masr – last 3
WLD
11 Mar
vs Future FC
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Zamalek SC
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Ghazl El Mehalla
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Geish and Masr.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win El Geish vs Masr?
On our numbers El Geish have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Masr 38%.
How many goals will there be in El Geish vs Masr?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Geish vs Masr?
Our predicted score is El Geish 0–0 Masr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Geish vs Masr?
El Geish vs Masr (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
