Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAL Masry to win ✓43% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.39
Smouha SC vs AL Masry preview and prediction
The match
Smouha SC host AL Masry in the Premier League on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Suez Stadium. Smouha SC are 9th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while AL Masry sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Smouha SC's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Ceramica Cleopatra 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
AL Masry's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Enppi 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
AL Masry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Smouha SC and 1.2 for AL Masry. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Smouha SC 33%, draw 24%, AL Masry 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Smouha SC 0–1 AL Masry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smouha SC33%fair 3.02 · @3.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.82
AL Masry43%fair 2.34 · @2.44
2.16Expected goals
0.99Smouha SC xG
1.18AL Masry xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Smouha SC 1.0 – 1.2 AL Masry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AL Masry to win✓
43%
2.34
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AL Masry / FT AL Masry✓
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.39
–
Form
Smouha SC – last 4
LLLL
22 Apr
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0–2
L
7 Apr
vs Enppi
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Al Ahly
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Al Ittihad
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
AL Masry – last 6
DLDWLW
22 Apr
vs Enppi
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Zamalek SC
1–4
L
30 Mar
vs El Gouna FC
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ El Gouna FC
2–0
W
10 Mar
@ El Gouna FC
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Ismaily SC
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smouha SC and AL Masry.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Smouha SC vs AL Masry?
On our numbers Smouha SC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AL Masry 43%.
How many goals will there be in Smouha SC vs AL Masry?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smouha SC vs AL Masry?
Our predicted score is Smouha SC 0–1 AL Masry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Smouha SC vs AL Masry?
Smouha SC vs AL Masry (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Suez Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
