Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Wadi Degla to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Geish to win ✗41% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.82
El Geish vs Wadi Degla preview and prediction
The match
El Geish host Wadi Degla in the Premier League on Thursday 28 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium. El Geish are 14th with 8 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Wadi Degla sit 15th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
El Geish's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to El Gouna FC 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wadi Degla's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Enppi 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished El Geish 2–1 Wadi Degla. Across their last 2 meetings El Geish have won 1, Wadi Degla 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for El Geish and 0.9 for Wadi Degla. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Geish 41%, draw 25%, Wadi Degla 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Wadi Degla to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: El Geish 1–0 Wadi Degla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Geish41%fair 2.41 · @2.36
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.70
Wadi Degla33%fair 3.01 · @3.40
1.99Expected goals
1.08El Geish xG
0.92Wadi Degla xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: El Geish 1.1 – 0.9 Wadi Degla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Geish vs Wadi Degla?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win El Geish vs Wadi Degla?
On our numbers El Geish have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Wadi Degla 33%.
How many goals will there be in El Geish vs Wadi Degla?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Geish vs Wadi Degla?
Our predicted score is El Geish 1–0 Wadi Degla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is El Geish vs Wadi Degla?
El Geish vs Wadi Degla (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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