Value bet: El Geish to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Geish to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.34
El Gouna FC vs El Geish preview and prediction
The match
El Geish travel to Khaled Bichara Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 22 May (15:00 WAT) to face El Gouna FC. El Gouna FC are 20th with 3 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while El Geish sit 14th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
El Gouna FC's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with National Bank of Egypt 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
El Geish's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Pharco 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for El Gouna FC and 0.9 for El Geish. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Gouna FC 35%, draw 28%, El Geish 37%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.48.
Value angle: El Geish to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: El Gouna FC 0–0 El Geish. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Gouna FC35%fair 2.83 · @2.74
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.64
El Geish37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
1.71Expected goals
0.84El Gouna FC xG
0.87El Geish xG
45%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: El Gouna FC 0.8 – 0.9 El Geish expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Geish to win✗
37%
2.70
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.34
–
Form
El Gouna FC – last 6
DLLDWW
17 May
@ National Bank of Egypt
1–1
D
12 May
vs Kahraba Ismailia
0–1
L
8 May
@ El Mokawloon
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Haras El Hodood
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Pharco
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Ismaily SC
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Geish – last 6
WLWDLW
18 May
vs Pharco
1–0
W
13 May
@ Al Ittihad
0–1
L
7 May
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Future FC
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Kahraba Ismailia
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Petrojet
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Gouna FC and El Geish.
What is the prediction for El Gouna FC vs El Geish?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs El Geish?
On our numbers El Gouna FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and El Geish 37%.
How many goals will there be in El Gouna FC vs El Geish?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Gouna FC vs El Geish?
Our predicted score is El Gouna FC 0–0 El Geish, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is El Gouna FC vs El Geish?
El Gouna FC vs El Geish (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Khaled Bichara Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pharco0