Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Gouna FC to win ✓37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.37
Pharco vs El Gouna FC preview and prediction
The match
El Gouna FC travel to Harras El Hodood Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 24 April (15:00 WAT) to face Pharco.
Form guide
Pharco's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Haras El Hodood 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
El Gouna FC's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Ismaily SC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for Pharco and 0.9 for El Gouna FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pharco 35%, draw 28%, El Gouna FC 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Pharco 0–0 El Gouna FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pharco35%fair 2.88 · @2.88
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.60
El Gouna FC37%fair 2.71 · @2.80
1.73Expected goals
0.84Pharco xG
0.88El Gouna FC xG
50%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Pharco 0.8 – 0.9 El Gouna FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Gouna FC to win✓
37%
2.71
2.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.37
–
Form
Pharco – last 5
WLLLD
13 Apr
vs Haras El Hodood
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Wadi Degla
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs Kahraba Ismailia
0–2
L
25 Feb
@ National Bank of Egypt
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Petrojet
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
El Gouna FC – last 6
WDLDLD
19 Apr
vs Ismaily SC
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Future FC
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Ghazl El Mehalla
0–1
L
30 Mar
@ AL Masry
2–2
D
26 Mar
vs AL Masry
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Wadi Degla
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pharco and El Gouna FC.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Pharco vs El Gouna FC?
On our numbers Pharco have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and El Gouna FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Pharco vs El Gouna FC?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pharco vs El Gouna FC?
Our predicted score is Pharco 0–0 El Gouna FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Pharco vs El Gouna FC?
Pharco vs El Gouna FC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Harras El Hodood Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kahraba Ismailia2
Ismaily SC0