Value bet: Masr to win @ 2.72 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMasr to win ✗41% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Al Ittihad vs Masr preview and prediction
The match
Masr travel to Borg El Arab Stadium in the Premier League on Tuesday 14 April (19:00 WAT) to face Al Ittihad. Al Ittihad are 5th with 14 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Masr sit 10th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Ittihad's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Kahraba Ismailia 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Masr's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Petrojet 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Al Ittihad and 1.0 for Masr. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ittihad 32%, draw 26%, Masr 41%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Masr to win at 2.72 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Al Ittihad 0–1 Masr. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ittihad32%fair 3.10 · @2.96
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.60
Masr41%fair 2.42 · @2.72
1.87Expected goals
0.85Al Ittihad xG
1.02Masr xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al Ittihad 0.9 – 1.0 Masr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Masr to win✗
41%
2.42
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Al Ittihad – last 5
DLWLW
9 Apr
@ Kahraba Ismailia
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Zamalek SC
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Petrojet
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Smouha SC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Masr – last 6
LDDDWD
9 Apr
@ Petrojet
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs El Mokawloon
0–0
D
30 Mar
@ El Mokawloon
1–1
D
26 Mar
vs El Mokawloon
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs El Geish
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ El Geish
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ittihad and Masr.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs Masr?
On our numbers Al Ittihad have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Masr 41%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad vs Masr?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ittihad vs Masr?
Our predicted score is Al Ittihad 0–1 Masr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Al Ittihad vs Masr?
Al Ittihad vs Masr (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Borg El Arab Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kahraba Ismailia1
Ismaily SC1