Value bet: El Geish to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMasr to win ✓42% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.38
Masr vs El Geish preview and prediction
The match
El Geish travel to Arab Contractors Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 22 March (16:00 WAT) to face Masr. Masr are 10th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while El Geish sit 14th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Masr's last 4: DWLD Most recently they drew with El Geish 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Geish's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Masr 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
El Geish arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished El Geish 1–1 Masr.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Masr and 0.9 for El Geish. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Masr 42%, draw 27%, El Geish 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: El Geish to win at 3.75 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Masr 1–0 El Geish. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Masr42%fair 2.36 · @2.42
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.45
El Geish30%fair 3.29 · @3.75
1.93Expected goals
1.08Masr xG
0.85El Geish xG
51%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Masr 1.1 – 0.9 El Geish expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Masr vs El Geish?
On our numbers Masr have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and El Geish 30%.
How many goals will there be in Masr vs El Geish?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Masr vs El Geish?
Our predicted score is Masr 1–0 El Geish, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Masr vs El Geish?
Masr vs El Geish (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arab Contractors Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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