Value bet: Mount Pleasant Academy to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMount Pleasant Academy to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant Academy preview and prediction
The match
Mount Pleasant Academy travel to Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex in the Premier League on Tuesday 31 March (01:30 WAT) to face Arnett Gardens. Arnett Gardens are 6th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Mount Pleasant Academy sit 5th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arnett Gardens's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Harbour View 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mount Pleasant Academy's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Spanish Town Police 4–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Mount Pleasant Academy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Arnett Gardens and 1.6 for Mount Pleasant Academy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arnett Gardens 21%, draw 21%, Mount Pleasant Academy 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Mount Pleasant Academy to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arnett Gardens 0–1 Mount Pleasant Academy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arnett Gardens21%fair 4.71 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.25
Mount Pleasant Academy58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
2.45Expected goals
0.83Arnett Gardens xG
1.62Mount Pleasant Academy xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Arnett Gardens 0.8 – 1.6 Mount Pleasant Academy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mount Pleasant Academy to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mount Pleasant Academy / FT Mount Pleasant Academy✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.15
–
Form
Arnett Gardens – last 6
LWWDLL
23 Mar
vs Harbour View
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Tivoli Gardens
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Racing United
4–0
W
9 Mar
vs Molynes United
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Spanish Town Police
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Portmore United
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mount Pleasant Academy – last 6
WWLWLD
27 Mar
vs Spanish Town Police
4–0
W
24 Mar
vs Portmore United
4–1
W
20 Mar
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
0–3
L
16 Mar
vs Molynes United
2–0
W
12 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–3
L
4 Mar
@ Tivoli Gardens
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arnett Gardens and Mount Pleasant Academy.
What is the prediction for Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant Academy?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant Academy?
On our numbers Arnett Gardens have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mount Pleasant Academy 58%.
How many goals will there be in Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant Academy?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant Academy?
Our predicted score is Arnett Gardens 0–1 Mount Pleasant Academy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant Academy?
Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant Academy (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Spanish Town Police1