Value bet: Tivoli Gardens to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTivoli Gardens to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.68
Tivoli Gardens vs Harbour View preview and prediction
The match
Tivoli Gardens host Harbour View in the Premier League on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Edward Seaga Sports Complex.
Form guide
Tivoli Gardens's last 4: LLDD Most recently they lost to Chapelton 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Harbour View's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Racing United 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Harbour View arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Tivoli Gardens and 0.9 for Harbour View. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Tivoli Gardens to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tivoli Gardens 1–1 Harbour View. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tivoli Gardens60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @3.40
Harbour View22%fair 4.54 · @3.35
2.75Expected goals
1.80Tivoli Gardens xG
0.95Harbour View xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Tivoli Gardens 1.8 – 0.9 Harbour View expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tivoli Gardens to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Tivoli Gardens ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tivoli Gardens / FT Tivoli Gardens✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
Tivoli Gardens – last 4
LLDD
25 Mar
vs Chapelton
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Arnett Gardens
0–2
L
4 Mar
vs Mount Pleasant Academy
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Waterhouse
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Harbour View – last 6
DWWLDD
25 Mar
vs Racing United
2–2
D
23 Mar
@ Arnett Gardens
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Spanish Town Police
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Racing United
0–3
L
2 Mar
@ Molynes United
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Montego Bay United
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tivoli Gardens and Harbour View.
What is the prediction for Tivoli Gardens vs Harbour View?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tivoli Gardens vs Harbour View?
On our numbers Tivoli Gardens have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Harbour View 22%.
How many goals will there be in Tivoli Gardens vs Harbour View?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tivoli Gardens vs Harbour View?
Our predicted score is Tivoli Gardens 1–1 Harbour View, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tivoli Gardens vs Harbour View?
Tivoli Gardens vs Harbour View (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Edward Seaga Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
