New Town vs University of Tasmania prediction & analysis
95%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.05 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew Town to win ✓72% · @1.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.58
New Town vs University of Tasmania preview and prediction
The match
New Town host University of Tasmania in the Tasmania Southern Championship on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 05:30 (WAT).
Form guide
New Town's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Clarence Zebras II 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
University of Tasmania's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Taroona 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 3.3 conceded.
New Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 3.3 for New Town and 1.5 for University of Tasmania. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 85% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Town 72%, draw 13%, University of Tasmania 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 95% chance. Predicted score: New Town 3–1 University of Tasmania. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Town72%fair 1.39 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.63 · @11.00
University of Tasmania15%fair 6.63 · @17.00
4.78Expected goals
3.26New Town xG
1.52University of Tasmania xG
61%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–17%
4–16%
3–26%
2–25%
3–05%
From our goals model: New Town 3.3 – 1.5 University of Tasmania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New Town to win✓
72%
1.39
1.07
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
New Town ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New Town / FT New Town✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.58
–
Form
New Town – last 6
WWLDDW
1 Aug
@ Clarence Zebras II
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Glenorchy Knights U21
9–0
W
11 Jul
vs South Hobart II
0–3
L
4 Jul
vs Olympia Warriors
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Hobart City
2–2
D
20 Jun
vs Hobart Utd.
6–3
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
University of Tasmania – last 6
LLLLLW
8 Aug
vs Taroona
1–2
L
31 Jul
@ Glenorchy Knights U21
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ South Hobart II
0–5
L
4 Jul
@ Hobart City
2–5
L
26 Jun
@ Olympia Warriors
2–4
L
21 Jun
@ Clarence Zebras II
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Town and University of Tasmania.
What is the prediction for New Town vs University of Tasmania?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 95% chance.
Who will win New Town vs University of Tasmania?
On our numbers New Town have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 13% and University of Tasmania 15%.
How many goals will there be in New Town vs University of Tasmania?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Town vs University of Tasmania?
Our predicted score is New Town 3–1 University of Tasmania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is New Town vs University of Tasmania?
New Town vs University of Tasmania (Tasmania Southern Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania Southern Championship · Australia
