Hobart City vs University of Tasmania prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Hobart City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHobart City to win ✓65% · @1.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.56
Hobart City vs University of Tasmania preview and prediction
The match
University of Tasmania travel to face Hobart City in the Tasmania Southern Championship on Saturday 4 July (07:30 WAT).
Form guide
Hobart City's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with New Town 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
University of Tasmania's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Olympia Warriors 2–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Hobart City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 3.0 for Hobart City and 1.6 for University of Tasmania. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hobart City 65%, draw 17%, University of Tasmania 18%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hobart City to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hobart City 2–1 University of Tasmania. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hobart City65%fair 1.53 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @6.00
University of Tasmania18%fair 5.58 · @7.00
4.54Expected goals
2.96Hobart City xG
1.59University of Tasmania xG
60%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
4–15%
1–15%
From our goals model: Hobart City 3.0 – 1.6 University of Tasmania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hobart City to win✓
65%
1.53
1.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Hobart City ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hobart City / FT Hobart City✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.56
–
Form
Hobart City – last 5
DDWWD
27 Jun
vs New Town
2–2
D
20 Jun
vs Taroona
2–2
D
13 Jun
vs Glenorchy Knights U21
3–1
W
18 Apr
vs Hobart Utd.
5–0
W
13 Mar
@ Glenorchy Knights FC 2
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
University of Tasmania – last 6
LWWLLL
26 Jun
@ Olympia Warriors
2–4
L
21 Jun
@ Clarence Zebras II
4–1
W
13 Jun
@ Hobart Utd.
3–2
W
23 May
@ Taroona
0–10
L
28 Mar
vs Olympia Warriors
3–5
L
14 Mar
vs Hobart Utd.
0–5
L
2.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hobart City and University of Tasmania.
What is the prediction for Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
Our pick is Hobart City to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
On our numbers Hobart City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 17% and University of Tasmania 18%.
How many goals will there be in Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
Our predicted score is Hobart City 2–1 University of Tasmania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
Hobart City vs University of Tasmania (Tasmania Southern Championship) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania Southern Championship · Australia
