The Cup sees Paide take on Vaprus on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Paide linnastaadion.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Tammeka 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Vaprus's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Kalju Nomme 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Vaprus 3–2 Paide.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.1 goals: 4.1 for Paide and 2.1 for Vaprus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 94% and both teams to score at 73%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 67%, draw 23%, Vaprus 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (73%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 73% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paide 4–2 Vaprus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide67%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.00
Vaprus9%fair 10.73 · @6.00
6.14Expected goals
4.08Paide xG
2.06Vaprus xG
73%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
4–25%
3–25%
4–15%
3–15%
5–24%
5–14%
From our goals model: Paide 4.1 – 2.1 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Paide vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Paide have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vaprus 9%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Vaprus?
We expect about 6.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Paide 4–2 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.1 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Vaprus?
Paide vs Vaprus (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
