Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028 prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Shenzhen 2028 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Shenzhen 2028 to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShenzhen 2028 to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceShenzhen 2028 or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.15
Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028 preview and prediction
The match
Yichun Grand Tiger host Shenzhen 2028 in the League Two on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Wenzhou Sports Centre. Yichun Grand Tiger are 5th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Shenzhen 2028 sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Yichun Grand Tiger's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Guangdong Mingtu 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shenzhen 2028's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Shangyu Pterosaur 6–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Shenzhen 2028 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 May 2026, finished Shenzhen 2028 4–0 Yichun Grand Tiger.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Yichun Grand Tiger and 1.6 for Shenzhen 2028. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 40%.
Value angle: Shenzhen 2028 to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shenzhen 2028 or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yichun Grand Tiger 0–1 Shenzhen 2028. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yichun Grand Tiger14%fair 7.21 · @3.80
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Shenzhen 202859%fair 1.68 · @1.90
2.31Expected goals
0.67Yichun Grand Tiger xG
1.63Shenzhen 2028 xG
40%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Yichun Grand Tiger 0.7 – 1.6 Shenzhen 2028 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?
Our pick is Shenzhen 2028 or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?
On our numbers Yichun Grand Tiger have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shenzhen 2028 59%.
How many goals will there be in Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?
Our predicted score is Yichun Grand Tiger 0–1 Shenzhen 2028, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?
Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028 (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wenzhou Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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