Value bet: Hubei Chufeng Heli to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHubei Chufeng Heli to win ✓43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Chufeng Heli preview and prediction
The match
Hubei Chufeng Heli travel to Huadu Stadium in the League Two on Sunday 10 May (12:30 WAT) to face Guangdong Mingtu. Guangdong Mingtu are 6th with 29 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Hubei Chufeng Heli sit 7th on 27 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guangdong Mingtu's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Chengdu Rongcheng II 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hubei Chufeng Heli's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Wuhan Three Towns II 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hubei Chufeng Heli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Guangdong Mingtu and 1.2 for Hubei Chufeng Heli. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Hubei Chufeng Heli to win at 2.70 – 43% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Guangdong Mingtu 0–1 Hubei Chufeng Heli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guangdong Mingtu33%fair 3.00 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
Hubei Chufeng Heli43%fair 2.33 · @2.70
2.14Expected goals
0.98Guangdong Mingtu xG
1.16Hubei Chufeng Heli xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Guangdong Mingtu 1.0 – 1.2 Hubei Chufeng Heli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hubei Chufeng Heli to win✓
43%
2.33
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hubei Chufeng Heli / FT Hubei Chufeng Heli✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Guangdong Mingtu – last 6
DDLLLD
4 May
@ Chengdu Rongcheng II
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Jiangxi Liansheng
0–0
D
25 Apr
@ Shenzhen 2028
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Shanghai Second
0–1
L
14 Apr
vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ Xiamen Feilu
3–3
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hubei Chufeng Heli – last 6
DDWWDW
4 May
@ Wuhan Three Towns II
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Jiangxi Liansheng
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs Shangyu Pterosaur
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Xiamen Feilu
2–2
D
21 Mar
vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guangdong Mingtu and Hubei Chufeng Heli.
What is the prediction for Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Chufeng Heli?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Chufeng Heli?
On our numbers Guangdong Mingtu have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hubei Chufeng Heli 43%.
How many goals will there be in Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Chufeng Heli?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Chufeng Heli?
Our predicted score is Guangdong Mingtu 0–1 Hubei Chufeng Heli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Chufeng Heli?
Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Chufeng Heli (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Huadu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shanghai Second1
Xiamen Feilu2
Chengdu Rongcheng II0
Qingdao Red Lions0