Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJiangxi Liansheng to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65
Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger preview and prediction
The match
Jiangxi Liansheng host Yichun Grand Tiger in the League Two on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Ruichang Sports Park Stadium. Jiangxi Liansheng are 1st with 49 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Yichun Grand Tiger sit 5th on 37 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jiangxi Liansheng's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Shenzhen 2028 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Yichun Grand Tiger's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Guangzhou Dandelion 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Jiangxi Liansheng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.2 for Jiangxi Liansheng and 0.7 for Yichun Grand Tiger. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Jiangxi Liansheng 1–0 Yichun Grand Tiger. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jiangxi Liansheng50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.88
Yichun Grand Tiger27%fair 3.77 · @3.70
1.88Expected goals
1.16Jiangxi Liansheng xG
0.72Yichun Grand Tiger xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Jiangxi Liansheng 1.2 – 0.7 Yichun Grand Tiger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jiangxi Liansheng to win✓
50%
2.01
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jiangxi Liansheng / FT Jiangxi Liansheng✓
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.65
–
Form
Jiangxi Liansheng – last 6
WDLWWL
5 May
@ Shenzhen 2028
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Guangdong Mingtu
0–0
D
25 Apr
vs Hubei Chufeng Heli
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Fujian Quanzhou Qinggong
7–0
W
14 Apr
vs Guizhou Zhucheng
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Guangzhou Dandelion
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Yichun Grand Tiger – last 6
DDLLDD
5 May
vs Guangzhou Dandelion
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Dalian Kewei
0–2
L
15 Apr
vs Langfang Glory City
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Shangyu Pterosaur
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Wuhan Three Towns II
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jiangxi Liansheng and Yichun Grand Tiger.
What is the prediction for Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
On our numbers Jiangxi Liansheng have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Yichun Grand Tiger 27%.
How many goals will there be in Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
Our predicted score is Jiangxi Liansheng 1–0 Yichun Grand Tiger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Ruichang Sports Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.