The Iraqi League sees Gharraf take on Al Zawra'a on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 21:15 (WAT). Gharraf are 13th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al Zawra'a sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gharraf's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Al-Karma 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Al Zawra'a's last 4: DDLL Most recently they drew with Naft Maysan 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gharraf arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Gharraf and 1.0 for Al Zawra'a. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gharraf 36%, draw 30%, Al Zawra'a 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gharraf 1–1 Al Zawra'a. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gharraf36%fair 2.75 · @2.60
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @3.00
Al Zawra'a34%fair 2.94 · @2.60
2.03Expected goals
1.07Gharraf xG
0.96Al Zawra'a xG
53%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gharraf 1.1 – 1.0 Al Zawra'a expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gharraf to win✗
36%
2.75
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
Gharraf – last 5
LLLWW
12 Mar
@ Al-Karma
0–3
L
6 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Duhok
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Al Zawra'a – last 4
DDLL
13 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Mosul
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Al Shorta
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Al-Wasl FC
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gharraf and Al Zawra'a.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
On our numbers Gharraf have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Al Zawra'a 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
Our predicted score is Gharraf 1–1 Al Zawra'a, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
