Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: AF Elbasani to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEgnatia Rrogozhinë to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.19
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Egnatia Rrogozhinë take on AF Elbasani on Wednesday 8 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Demrozi Stadium.
Form guide
Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with AF Elbasani 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AF Elbasani's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished AF Elbasani 0–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 1.0 for AF Elbasani. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 40%, draw 26%, AF Elbasani 34%.
Value angle: AF Elbasani to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–0 AF Elbasani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Egnatia Rrogozhinë40%fair 2.48 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
AF Elbasani34%fair 2.93 · @3.30
2.06Expected goals
1.09Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
0.97AF Elbasani xG
43%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.1 – 1.0 AF Elbasani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
On our numbers Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AF Elbasani 34%.
How many goals will there be in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
Our predicted score is Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–0 AF Elbasani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Demrozi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dinamo Tirana1
Vllaznia Shkodër1