HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓63% · @1.45
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo preview and prediction
The match
HNK Rijeka host NK Slaven Belupo in the Cup on Wednesday 8 April, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to HNK Gorica 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
NK Slaven Belupo's last 4: DWDW Most recently they drew with NK Osijek 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Slaven Belupo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for HNK Rijeka and 1.1 for NK Slaven Belupo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Rijeka 63%, draw 24%, NK Slaven Belupo 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka63%fair 1.59 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.90
NK Slaven Belupo13%fair 7.44 · @6.40
3.42Expected goals
2.34HNK Rijeka xG
1.08NK Slaven Belupo xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.3 – 1.1 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
63%
1.59
1.45
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.30
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
HNK Rijeka – last 6
LDLLWW
22 Mar
@ HNK Gorica
0–4
L
19 Mar
@ Strasbourg
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Istra 1961
0–2
L
12 Mar
vs Strasbourg
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Vukovar
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Slaven Belupo – last 4
DWDW
22 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Istra 1961
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Vukovar
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and NK Slaven Belupo.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NK Slaven Belupo 13%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo?
HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
HNK Gorica3
Dinamo Zagreb6