FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.46
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.16 – our chance 51% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win48% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.16
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.56
FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl preview and prediction
The match
Shinnik Yaroslavl travel to Neftekhimik Stadium in the First League on Saturday 28 March (15:30 WAT) to face FK Neftekhimik. FK Neftekhimik are 17th with 13 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Neftekhimik's last 4: WLDD Most recently they beat FK Sokol Saratov 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 4: DDWL Most recently they drew with Spartak Kostroma 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.3 for FK Neftekhimik and 0.9 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Neftekhimik 48%, draw 24%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.16.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.16 – 51% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.46. Predicted score: FK Neftekhimik 1–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Neftekhimik48%fair 2.07 · @2.11
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.99
Shinnik Yaroslavl28%fair 3.56 · @3.70
2.10Expected goals
1.25FK Neftekhimik xG
0.85Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.3 – 0.9 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win
48%
2.07
2.11
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.16 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.56
–
Form
FK Neftekhimik – last 4
WLDD
22 Mar
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Tekstilshchik
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 4
DDWL
22 Mar
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Enisey
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 28%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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